Vitreous Labs· Great Britain
Connection queue intelligence

Great Britain has run out of permitted battery capacity. The question is which positions fail next.

Vitreous Labs reads NESO's connection registers twice a week alongside the capacity market, the planning database, Companies House and a full year of balancing mechanism settlement, and maps what is contracted, what is likely to fail and where capacity comes back.

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426.7 GWof storage capacity contracted across 1,563 projects
Zeropermitted battery capacity remaining in all nineteen zones
120 GWqueued at connection nodes that do not physically exist
£122mpaid to batteries to discharge in the balancing mechanism last year

Why a queue tool rather than a siting tool

NESO's connections reform allocated every megawatt of permitted battery capacity in all nineteen zones. 99.4% of the 83.2 GW Gate 2 book went to projects that were already protected, leaving 471 MW for everything else and nothing at all in the 2031 to 2035 phase. There is no open door to walk through.

So the useful question changes. Not where should a battery go, but which of the positions already in the queue will not be delivered, when that becomes visible, and at which substation the capacity returns. That is an attrition question, and it is answerable from published data if you read it carefully enough.

What is actually in it

LayerRecords
Storage projects in the connection register1,563
Connection points, 601 of them mapped937
Capacity market battery sites with duration2,737
Planning records from the renewable energy planning database2,668
Transmission circuits and substations18,231
Battery units registered in the balancing mechanism123
Applicants resolved against Companies House1,530

Two tools

The queue tool maps what is contracted and what is likely to fail. The operating tool maps the batteries that already exist and what the balancing mechanism actually pays them, with live positions.

Latest findings

No permitted battery capacity remains in any zone

NESO rations connections against the Clean Power 2030 targets. Queue formation allocated all of the battery allowance, and the published remaining figure is zero in all nineteen zones.

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120 GW is queued at connection nodes that do not exist

122 strategic connection nodes created by the connections reform hold 120 GW of contracted storage between them, and not one megawatt of Gate 2.

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A battery in North Scotland is turned down thirty one times as often as it is turned up

A full year of Elexon settlement data across 97 per cent of the operating fleet shows a clean north to south gradient: the further north an asset sits, the more the system uses it as a sink and the less it earns.

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All findings →

How it is kept honest

Every number traces to a published file or is labelled as inference. Where a coordinate is inferred rather than published, the mark on the map is drawn differently and the popup says how it was derived. Where the published data is ambiguous, the tool says so instead of picking a reading. Data that is absent is never invented.

The method in full  ·  What you may do with each layer